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TW1
11-12-2007, 04:51 PM
Interesting article in the Orlando Sentinel this morning. I chose to bold some type relating to DVC and the parks. I like Iger's take on California Adventure. Enjoy!

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Disney rolls up 2nd year with jump in profit
Theme-park figures are especially impressive, an industry analyst says.

Scott Powers | Sentinel Staff Writer
November 9, 2007

Editor's Note: An earlier version of this story incorrectly stated the net profit for fiscal 2007, the percent growth over fiscal 2006 and the net profit for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2007. The net profit for fiscal 2007 was $4.69 billion, the percent growth over fiscal 2006 was 39 percent and the net profit for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2007 was $877 million.

Bolstered by big profits from its movie studios and TV networks, and solid profits from its theme parks and resorts, the Walt Disney Co. completed a second straight record year with yet another strong quarter.

The company posted a 5 percent increase in sales and a 39 percent jump in net profit for its 2007 fiscal year, which ended Sept. 29, according to financial reports filed Thursday with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

"We've had another year of outstanding financial results," said Robert A. Iger, Disney's president and chief executive officer. Disney had $35.5 billion in sales for the year, up from $33.7 billion in fiscal 2006. Net profit was $4.69 billion, up from $3.37 billion a year earlier.

Rick Munarriz, a senior analyst at The Motley Fool who specializes in entertainment stocks, said the movie business can be volatile, so he's particularly impressed that Disney has been able to sustain growth within its other divisions: media networks, consumer products, and parks and resorts. The parks' figures are especially impressive, he said, considering the losses reported recently by some other theme-park companies.

"Disney is hitting it out yet again," Munarriz said. "Obviously you can't compare a regional amusement park to a national monster like Disney, but it's marching to its own Mickey Mouse drummer at this point, and it's quite the beat."

The company's fourth-quarter revenue totaled $8.9 billion, compared with $8.7 billion during the same period last year. Fourth-quarter net profit amounted to $877 million, which allowed Disney to offer diluted earnings of 44 cents a share, up from 36 cents a year ago. A one-time tax adjustment accounted for 2 cents' worth of that increase, but even at 42 cents a share, the company's performance beat the 41-cent prediction of stock analysts surveyed by Thomson/First Call.

The quarter was at least the eighth in a row in which Disney recorded year-over-year increases in revenue and profit.

Disney's Parks and Resorts, Consumer Products and Broadcast Networks divisions all posted higher sales for the quarter and identical, 7 percent sales increases for the fiscal year. They each also showed reported gains in operating profit.

Fourth-quarter sales were down for Disney's Studio Entertainment segment. The division's sales for the year also fell, just 1 percent, but it still managed a 65 percent increase in operating profit.

Iger said Disney's future appears bright because of its strategy of developing strong new franchises, such as High School Musical and Hannah Montana, that it then sells through TV shows, music, toys, video games, and theme-park attractions in markets around the world.

"These results come directly from our emphasis on the creation of high-quality content across all of our businesses, backed by a clear strategy of maximizing the value of that content across platforms and markets," Iger said.

"Strong, recognizable and relevant brands that help us cut through an increasingly cluttered media landscape, giving us entree to new platforms and new geographic markets, and giving us new consumers."

The Parks and Resorts division's revenue for the year totaled $10.6 billion, while its operating profit rose 11 percent to $1.7 billion. For the quarter, revenue increased 10 percent to $2.8 billion and operating profit increased 9 percent to $430 million.

Walt Disney World, Disneyland Paris and the Disney Vacation Club provided much of the strength in the Parks and Resorts segment, according to Iger and to Tom Staggs, the company's senior executive vice president and chief financial officer.

Although they did not detail Disney World's attendance, Staggs said it set a record this fiscal year and more than offset a slight decline at Disneyland Resort in Southern California, giving the company an overall 5 percent increase in domestic admissions. Disney World's average hotel-occupancy rate rose 7 percentage points to 90 percent, while spending by the average guest grew 2 percent, in part because of an increase in ticket prices and room rates.

Disney World, however, was not among the direct beneficiaries of the big-ticket capital investments outlined by Iger for Parks and Resorts. The company's three key decisions of 2007, as he called them, were: continued investment in Disney Vacation Club, with the announcement of a new Hawaiian resort; continued investment in Disney Cruise Line, with the purchase of two new ships; and a $1 billion makeover of Disneyland Resort's California Adventure theme park.

"Let's face it: We had a problem with California Adventure. It was not as successful, and the returns on that investment were not as strong as we would like," Iger said. "As we looked at the entire Disneyland Resort, . . . we concluded that the only way to grow that business would be to fix and expand California Adventure."

Scott Powers can be reached at spowers@orlandosentinel.com or 407-520-5441.

Copyright © 2007, Orlando Sentinel

carolina_yankee
11-12-2007, 05:23 PM
I think those are the bluntest words yet out of Disney about DCA. Can't wait to see the make-over though!

Now, the question is how well Disney will do this fiscal year without PotC, with a writer's strike, and with increasing fuel prices. No wonder they're emphasizing DVC to ensure repeat visits.

Dirk

gblast123
11-13-2007, 05:01 AM
You would think that as a result of the HUGE profits Disney makes on the DVC program, they would do something nice for the members besides increasing maintenence fees and exchange fees for DCL.

I guess that is too much to expect from a FOR PROFIT corporation such as Disney!!

TW1
11-13-2007, 01:51 PM
The 'members' Disney Corp needs to worry about are the stock holders, and for them, they earned 42 cents per share.

I think an underlying notation here for you and I is that as members, maybe we should as consider being stock holders!

Daddio
11-13-2007, 02:10 PM
But if that isn't enough. I just read on Jim Hill Media this morning that Buffet Restaurants at WDW will add a $4.00 surcharge to each person during busy seasons starting on November 18, for Thanksgiving, then Christma etc.

Swallow that!

7swans
11-13-2007, 05:19 PM
I hope May 29 - June 3 will not be considered Busy Season, that $4.00 increase = $200.00 a meal for our group of 50!!!

doombuggy
11-13-2007, 06:17 PM
The 'members' Disney Corp needs to worry about are the stock holders, and for them, they earned 42 cents per share.

I think an underlying notation here for you and I is that as members, maybe we should as consider being stock holders!

Yep. that's why I started bying stock as soon as I was able to do so, back in 2001.

erikthewise
11-13-2007, 06:57 PM
There are lots of companies that make money. But there are a few companies for which the real rewards come from owning their products. For me those include Apple, Honda, and Disney. Owning Apple computers (4+ an iPod) , Honda automobiles (2), and DVC makes me happier than any feasible amount of their stock.

That said, I don't mind it when Disney makes money. It puts them in a better mood.

administrator
11-13-2007, 08:52 PM
Here's a more nuanced take on possible future profits:

From the NYT:

November 13, 2007
Slowing Economy Posing Test for Disney

By BROOKS BARNES (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/b/brooks_barnes/index.html?inline=nyt-per)
LOS ANGELES, Nov. 12 — Since becoming chief executive of the Walt Disney Company (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/disney_walt_company/index.html?inline=nyt-org) two years ago, Robert A. Iger (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/i/robert_a_iger/index.html?inline=nyt-per) has dazzled Wall Street by delivering soaring profits and moving aggressively to fix trouble spots.

But now, for the first time under Mr. Iger’s watch, Disney is sailing into some choppy waters. Two of the company’s four growth engines — theme parks and consumer products — turn on the health of the economy, which indicators suggest is slowing. Striking television and movie writers threaten advertising income at ABC, which Disney owns.

Hollywood’s union problems also afflict Disney’s film studio, which faces life without a new installment of its money machine, “Pirates of the Caribbean,” and could be dealing with delays on big-screen franchise films like “High School Musical 3.”

How Mr. Iger navigates these and other challenges will either solidify or puncture his emerging reputation as a blockbuster chief executive, analysts say. “Bob has done a spectacular job so far, but this is a test,” said Jessica Reif Cohen, the chief media analyst at Merrill Lynch (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/merrill_lynch_and_company/index.html?inline=nyt-org). “The easy growth is over.”
Disney’s recent success poses a conundrum. When a company delivers five consecutive years of double-digit growth in operating income, as Disney has done, anything less looks disappointing to Wall Street. Mr. Iger became chief executive in October 2005 after a period in which the Magic Kingdom was rocked by a shareholder revolt — which toppled his predecessor, Michael D. Eisner (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/e/michael_d_eisner/index.html?inline=nyt-per) — and trouble in its core animation business.

Despite the turmoil in the boardroom, Disney continued to perform, with most of its leading business units recently delivering record results. But a $35.5 billion company like Disney can grow only so fast — especially with Mr. Iger preaching discipline when it comes to acquisitions.

“How much growth is there left in Disney? It’s uncertain,” said Michael Nathanson, a media analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Company.
Disney disagrees.

“Our strong portfolio of franchises has delivered recent growth, and we expect will deliver growth for the years to come,” Mr. Iger said.

He added that Disney’s ability to score hits across its various business units “allows us to reduce risk and to manage through economic cycles with a higher degree of certainty than our peers.” As a policy, Disney does not offer earnings guidance.

Investors appear to be taking a wait-and-see approach.

Disney’s stock, after soaring over 20 percent in early 2006 because of Mr. Iger’s deal-making and corporate reshaping, has stalled of late. Shares of Disney, battered by overall market weakness in addition to concerns about 2008, fell 72 cents, to $32.02 on Monday, about flat from a year earlier.

In comparison, the Dow Jones industrial average — and Disney is one of the 30 Dow stocks — has risen about 7 percent in the last year.

“One thing that I would like the market to appreciate more is the difference between Disney and other media companies,” Thomas O. Staggs, the company’s chief financial officer, said in a telephone interview. “We don’t just say that as a sound bite. Our brands and our ability to leverage them really set us apart.”

In the company’s quarterly conference call with analysts last week, Mr. Iger underlined the array of growth initiatives that Disney has in place. Indeed, the company is spending heavily — capital expenditures will increase by up to $350 million in 2008 — to position itself to deliver the kind of profit and revenue upticks that keep Wall Street happy.

Among Disney’s building projects is a $1 billion overhaul of its long-struggling California Adventure theme park in Southern California. (“Let’s face it, we had a problem,” Mr. Iger said.) Disney is also building two new cruise ships and a luxury resort in Hawaii. On the digital front, the company expects to plow about $175 million into video game development in 2008.

As for the writers’ strike, Mr. Iger said worries were premature.

“We actually think the network is well prepared,” he said, noting that “Lost” (which has a stockpile of original episodes, thanks to its being kept off the air this fall) and an array of reality shows, including one from Oprah Winfrey (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/w/oprah_winfrey/index.html?inline=nyt-per) called “The Big Give,” are sitting on ABC’s bench.

Mr. Staggs said the strike would not affect the film studio until 2009, if at all. Because movie scripts are finished well in advance — and because studios have been stockpiling scripts — a walkout would have to last more than four months to start cutting into movie production.

Analysts have mixed opinions on the impact of the economy on Disney, particularly the parks and resorts unit, which delivers more than 20 percent of the company’s annual operating profit.

In the worst case — a recession — Mr. Nathanson estimates that operating profit at Disney’s theme parks in the United States could decline as much as 30 percent. On the opposite end, Anthony Noto, an analyst at Goldman Sachs (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/goldman_sachs_group_inc/index.html?inline=nyt-org), wrote in a research note last week, “We continue to believe theme parks may be a source of growth upside.”

Why the split? The fortunes of Disneyland (http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/organizations/d/disneyland/index.html?inline=nyt-org) and Disney World have traditionally been tied to consumer confidence and other economic factors, like gas prices and fluctuations in the value of the dollar. Some investors continue to hold that view.

But in recent decades, as both parks have expanded in an effort to persuade vacationers to stay longer, a new school of thought says that the business might not be as tightly linked to the economy as it once was. Disney is rolling out new attractions at both destinations in the coming months and stepping up efforts to get foreign visitors to take advantage of favorable exchange rates.
Moreover, modern consumers love their credit cards.

“People tend not to let anything get in the way of their Disney vacations,” Mr. Staggs said. “Our occupancies are higher at the hotels and spending is higher. Thus far, the business remains really solid.”

Daitcher
11-13-2007, 09:34 PM
You would think that as a result of the HUGE profits Disney makes on the DVC program, they would do something nice for the members besides increasing maintenence fees and exchange fees for DCL.

I guess that is too much to expect from a FOR PROFIT corporation such as Disney!!



You hit on some key points. I have no problem with the "FOR PROFIT" part. Disney is a business and has an obligation to it's share holders.

Problem I have is that they continue to milk loyal DVC owners/patrons even when things are going well. God forbid things start to turn becaue then we'll really see some increases combined with a further reduction in quality and services.

I just get the feeling Disney sits there thinking how dumb we all are and belive that they can sell us "dopes" just about anything. I also think they feel like they can do anything they want and we'll bite. This OKW extension is one example of their arrogance.


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